Vivien J. Lewis
Deutsche Bundesbank, CEPR
Work Effort and the Cycle: Evidence from Survey Data
Venue
IBD Salle 17
Îlot Bernard du Bois - Salle 17
AMU - AMSE
5-9 boulevard Maurice Bourdet
13001 Marseille
Date(s)
Friday, April 25 2025
12:30pm to 1:30pm
12:30pm to 1:30pm
Contact(s)
Marco Fongoni: marco.fongoni[at]univ-amu.fr
Alexandros Loukas: alexandros.loukas[at]univ-amu.fr
Abstract
We use data from the Work Orientations Survey to analyse the cyclicality of effort at work. Our aim is to test two competing theories of the labor market, the labor hoarding view and the Shapiro and Stiglitz (1984) “shirking model”. Self-reported work effort is found to be robustly procyclical, consistent with the former model. We provide evidence for the presence of labor hoarding by showing that the cyclicality of effort is positively related to the strictness of employment protection legislation. Finally, we document heterogeneity in effort cyclicality across occupations and individuals.
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