Chanel

Publications

Ambient air SO2 patterns in 6 European citiesJournal articleSusann Henschel, Xavier Querol, Richard Atkinson, Marco Pandolfi, Ariana Zeka, Alain Le Tertre, Antonis Analitis, Klea Katsouyanni, Olivier Chanel, Mathilde Pascal, et al., Atmospheric Environment, Volume 79, pp. 236-247, 2013

An analysis of the hourly SO2 pollution patterns with time can be a useful tool for policy makers and stakeholders in developing more effective local policies in relation to air quality as it facilitates a deeper understanding of concentrations and potential source apportionment.
A detailed analysis of hourly inter-annual, seasonal and weekday-specific SO2 concentration patterns using data obtained from 6 cities involved in the Aphekom project was conducted. This type of analysis has been done for other pollutants but less so for SO2, and not in a systematic fashion for a number of European cities.
Individual diurnal SO2 profiles and working weekday versus weekend specific 24-hr plots were generated using hourly SO2 measurements from a roadside and an urban background monitoring sites for 1993, 2001 and 2009 for each of the 6 European cities (Athens, Barcelona, Brussels, London, Paris, and Vienna). This facilitated the assessment of city specific patterns and comparison of changes with time.
SO2 concentrations varied throughout the day and tended to be lower on the weekends. A general decreasing trend for SO2 levels with time was observable at all stations.
This study provides a useful European perspective on patterns of exposure. For the 6 EU cities examined, road traffic, heating, and shipping in port cities appeared to be important sources of SO2 emissions, and hence the driving components widely reflected in the diurnal profiles with lower levels on the weekend likely due to lower traffic volume and industry related emissions. Although ambient SO2 concentrations have fallen over the assessed study period at all measurement sites, the daily patterns remained relatively unchanged.

Comment les individus valorisent-ils les décès associés à la pollution atmosphérique ? Une comparaison de trois scénarios hypothétiquesJournal articleDominique Ami, Frédéric Aprahamian, Olivier Chanel et Stéphane Luchini, Économie et Statistique, Volume 460-461, Issue 1, pp. 107-128, 2013

[fr] La valorisation économique d’une diminution du risque de mortalité recourt de plus en plus fréquemment aux techniques d’évaluation contingente. Celles‑ci consistent à interroger un échantillon d’individus sur leur «consentement à payer » (CAP) pour réduire ce risque à partir de scénarios hypothétiques. Les CAP dépendent toutefois de nombreux facteurs et notamment de la nature du risque sous‑jacent et du scénario proposé pour le réduire. Cet article s’intéresse à la diminution du risque de mortalité associé à une exposition à la pollution atmosphérique et teste l’effet d’une modification du contexte d’évaluation hypothétique à travers trois scénarios : un nouveau médicament, un déménagement et de nouvelles réglementations. Pour analyser les CAP déclarés dans les différents scénarios, nous définissons un cadre d’analyse unifié, théorique puis économétrique, qui prend en compte les préférences des participants pour le présent, ainsi que celles des autres membres du ménage. Deux résultats en découlent. Les taux d’actualisation implicites estimés, spécifiques à chacun des scénarios hypothétiques, se révèlent significativement différents. De l’ordre de 7 % pour le scénario «déménagement » , ils sont respectivement de 24 % et 26 % pour les scénarios «médicament » et «réglementation » . Il en résulte des «valeurs d’évitement d’un décès » (VED) moyennes très différentes entre le scénario «déménagement » (801 000) d’une part, et les scénarios «médicament » (299 000) et «réglementation » (252 000) d’autre part.
[en] The economic value placed on a reduction in the risk of mortality relies more and more frequently on contingent assessment techniques. These consist in questioning a sample of individuals on their “ willingness to pay” (WTP) in order to reduce this risk, on the basis of hypothetical scenarios. These WTP nevertheless depend on many factors, especially the nature of the underlying risk and the scenario proposed to reduce it. This article deals with reducing the risk of mortality associated with exposure to atmospheric pollution and tests the effect of a change in the hypothetical context of assessment through three scenarios : a new drug, a house move and new regulations. To analyse the “ willingness to pay” stated in the different scenarios, we define a unified, theoretical then econometric framework of analysis, taking into account the preferences of the participants at present, and also those of other household members. There are two main results. The estimated implicit updating rates, specific to each hypothetical scenario, were seen to differ significantly. They were about 7% for the “ move” scenario and 24% and 26% for the “ drugs” and “ regulations” scenarios respectively. Results showed that the average “ values set for avoiding death” differed greatly between the “ move” scenario (801,000) on the one hand, and the “ drugs” (299,000) and “ regulations” (252,000) scenarios on the other hand.

Valuing life: Experimental evidence using sensitivity to rare eventsJournal articleOlivier Chanel et Graciela Chichilnisky, Ecological Economics, Volume 85, Issue C, pp. 198-205, 2013

Global environmental phenomena like climate change, major extinction events or flutype pandemics can have catastrophic consequences. By properly assessing the outcomes involved – especially those concerning human life – economic theory of choice under uncertainty is expected to help people take the best decision. However, the widely used expected utility theory values life in terms of the low probability of death someone would be willing to accept in order to receive extra payment. Common sense and experimental evidence refute this way of valuing life, and here we provide experimental evidence of people's unwillingness to accept a low probability of death, contrary to expected utility predictions. This work uses new axioms of choice defined by Chichilnisky (2000), especially an axiom that allows extreme responses to extreme events, and the choice criterion that they imply. The implied decision criteria are a combination of expected utility with extreme responses, and seem more consistent with observations.

A literature review: Air pollution interventions and their impact on public healthJournal articleSusann Henschel, Richard Atkinson, Ariana Zeka, Alain Le Tertre, Antonis Analitis, Klea Katsouyanni, Olivier Chanel, Mathilde Pascal, Bertil Forsberg, Sylvia Medina, et al., International Journal of Public Health, Volume 57, Issue 5, pp. 757-768, 2012

Numerous epidemiological studies have found a link between air pollution and health. We are reviewing a collection of published intervention studies with particular focus on studies assessing both improvements in air quality and associated health effects.
Interventions, defined as events aimed at reducing air pollution or where reductions occurred as a side effect, e.g. strikes, German reunification, from the 1960s onwards were considered for inclusion. This review is not a complete record of all existing air pollution interventions. In total, 28 studies published in English were selected based on a systematic search of internet databases.
Overall air pollution interventions have succeeded at improving air quality. Consistently published evidence suggests that most of these interventions have been associated with health benefits, mainly by the way of reduced cardiovascular and/or respiratory mortality and/or morbidity. The decrease in mortality from the majority of the reviewed interventions has been estimated to exceed the expected predicted figures based on the estimates from time-series studies.
There is consistent evidence that decreased air pollution levels following an intervention resulted in health benefits for the assessed population.

L'évaluation monétaire des effets sanitaires associés à la pollution atmosphériqueJournal articleOlivier Chanel, Pollution Atmosphérique, Issue N° Spécial Novembre, pp. 80-83, 2012

Lorsque le bien-être d’un individu est influencé par l’activité d’une tierce personne qui ne prend pas en compte ses retombées lors de son processus de prise de décision, l’évaluation économique parle d’externalité. Si les externalités peuvent parfois être positives, elles sont clairement négatives et très importantes dans le cas de la pollution atmosphérique.
Afin de pallier les défaillances du marché qu’elles provoquent, la théorie économique recommande de les chiffrer en termes monétaires. On dispose alors de guides visant à les internaliser, c’est-à-dire à les incorporer – partiellement ou totalement – dans les coûts associés aux activités qui les génèrent.
Après avoir présenté et discuté rapidement les méthodes de valorisation économique disponibles dans le cadre particulier de la pollution atmosphérique, nous aborderons quelques incertitudes et défis de l’évaluation économique et les illustrerons par certains résultats de l’étude européenne Aphekom (www.aphekom.org).

Comment modéliser les déterminants locaux de préservation des espaces non-artificialisés en France ? L'apport d'une confrontation littérature-terrainJournal articleOlivier Chanel, Laurence Delattre et Claude Napoléone, Revue d'économie régionale et urbaine, Issue 5, pp. 805-829, 2012

While international and national policies call for containing urban expansion to conserve agricultural and natural lands, France is still experiencing a relatively strong sprawl. So we analyze the determinants of land-use plans favoring a parsimonious allocation of land to urban development. A state of the art of theoretical models as well as quantitative and qualitative empirical studies is confronted with a qualitative field study (semi-directive interviews among municipal elected officials in South-Eastern France). This allows a typology of municipalities according to their urban development strategies. Thus, determinants such as agricultural activity?s dynamism and image, elected official?s political legitimacy, previous or surrounding municipality?s policies and existing built-up patterns are outlined while they are usually not considered in theoretical models and their empirical validation. Finally, we sketch a model of local determinants of non-built land conservation more in line with the French context.

A Test of Cheap Talk in Different Hypothetical Contexts: The Case of Air PollutionJournal articleDominique Ami, Frédéric Aprahamian, Olivier Chanel et Stéphane Luchini, Environmental & Resource Economics, Volume 50, Issue 1, pp. 111-130, 2011

We explore the influence of a neutral cheap talk script in three typical scenarios used in the CV literature devoted to the valuation of air pollution effects. We show that cheap talk has a differentiated effect depending on the scenario implemented. It decreases protest responses with no effect on WTP values in the scenario based on a new drug. When a move to a less polluted city is involved, it has no effect on protest responses but decreases WTP values. Surprisingly, cheap talk increases protest responses but decreases WTP values when new regional air pollution regulations are at stake.

Impact of information on intentions to vaccinate in a potential epidemic: Swine-origin Influenza A (H1N1)Journal articleOlivier Chanel, Stéphane Luchini, Sébastien Massoni et Jean-Christophe Vergnaud, Social Science & Medicine, Volume 72, Issue 2, pp. 142-148, 2011

Vaccination campaigns to prevent the spread of epidemics are successful only if the targeted populations subscribe to the recommendations of health authorities. However, because compulsory vaccination is hardly conceivable in modern democracies, governments need to convince their populations through efficient and persuasive information campaigns. In the context of the swine-origin A (H1N1) 2009 pandemic, we use an interactive study among the general public in the South of France, with 175 participants, to explore what type of information can induce change in vaccination intentions at both aggregate and individual levels. We find that individual attitudes to vaccination are based on rational appraisal of the situation, and that it is information of a purely scientific nature that has the only significant positive effect on intention to vaccinate.

L’environnement dans la décision publique Refonder l’évaluation socio-économique pour des politiques de transport plus durablesBookMéthodes et Approches, Olivier Chanel et Guillaume Faburel (Eds.), 2010, 230 pages, Economica, 2010

Les relations transports et environnement ont considérablement évolué ces dernières années. Les manifestations les plus visibles de ce jour relèvent tant de la taxe carbone, du bonus/malus écologique… que des concertations territoriales pour les projets d'équipement. Le calcul socio-économique fut logiquement mobilisé pour évaluer les nuisances environnementales, mais ces évaluations n'ont que peu irrigué la prise de décision, elle-même soumise à des évolutions de fond : territorialisation, institutionnalisation du débat public et quête de compromis par le développement durable.
Cet ouvrage confronte les réflexions de chercheurs de champs différents et d'acteurs de secteurs et institutions multiples sur l'appropriation des méthodes d'évaluation socio-économique de l'environnement. Partant d'un inventaire actualisé des méthodes et données disponibles sur les coûts environnementaux des transports, il offre ensuite des clés pour comprendre les enjeux, limites et perspectives de telles évaluations. Elles pourraient s'avérer, sous conditions, le vecteur de négociations et de compromis entre acteurs, en vue de politiques de transport plus durables.

Vers un renouveau encore fragile des méthodes de préférences déclarées (Commentaire sur l'article de Bénédicte Rulleau, Jeoffrey Dehez et Patrick Point "Approche multidimensionnelle de la valeur économique des loisirs de natureJournal articleDominique Ami et Olivier Chanel, Économie et Statistique, Issue 421, pp. 47-51, 2009