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VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//AMSE//Event Calendar//FR
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
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UID:event-12029@amse-aixmarseille.fr
DTSTAMP:20260430T130941Z
CREATED:20260430T130941Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260430T130941Z
STATUS:CONFIRMED
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY:phd seminar - Alexandre Arnout*\, Edem Egnikpo**
DTSTART:20250506T090000Z
DTEND:20250506T103000Z
DESCRIPTION:*This paper examines the link between rising political polariza
 tion and the intergenerational transmission of political preferences. While
  parents typically aim for their children to share similar political views\
 , they do not have a clear incentive to transmit more extreme preferences. 
 To reconcile parental motivations with trends in polarization\, we develop 
 a two-stage model in which parents exert effort to influence their child’
 s political orientation\, and children later revise their preferences based
  on peer interactions. Despite parents’ intentions to maintain alignment\
 , transmission failures and social dynamics can amplify polarization across
  generations. We also explore how political intolerance influences this pro
 cess and identify which segments of the political spectrum are more likely 
 to preserve political similarity between parents and children.**There is am
 ple evidence in the literature that developing countries suffer greater and
  more persistent growth losses from natural disasters than developed countr
 ies. This paper shows that a key factor underlying this asymmetry is the si
 ze of informality\, which is generally larger in developing economies. Usin
 g a smooth transition local projection method and a sample of 149 countries
 \, I find that highly informal economies experience deeper and longer-lasti
 ng growth contractions following storms\, while less informal economies exh
 ibit greater resilience and faster recovery. These results are robust to al
 ternative model specifications\, different informality measures\, and the i
 nclusion of various country characteristics. To rationalize these findings\
 , the next step will be to develop a two-sector dynamic stochastic general 
 equilibrium (DSGE) model incorporating disaster shocks\, dual labor markets
 \, and financial and labor frictions.\\n\\nContact: Philippine Escudié: p
 hilippine.escudie[at]univ-amu.frLucie Giorgi: lucie.giorgi[at]univ-amu.frKl
 a Kouadio: kla.kouadio[at]univ-amu.frLola Soubeyrand: lola.soubeyrand[at]u
 niv-amu.fr\n\nPlus d'informations: https://amse-aixmarseille.fr/en/events/a
 lexandre-arnout-edem-egnikpo-0
LOCATION:MEGA - Salle Carine Nourry\, 424\, Chemin du Viaduc\, 13080 Aix-en
 -Provence
URL;VALUE=URI:https://amse-aixmarseille.fr/en/events/alexandre-arnout-edem-egnikpo-0
CONTACT:Philippine Escudié:&nbsp\;philippine.escudie[at]univ-amu.frLucie G
 iorgi: lucie.giorgi[at]univ-amu.frKla Kouadio: kla.kouadio[at]univ-amu.frLo
 la Soubeyrand:&nbsp\;lola.soubeyrand[at]univ-amu.fr
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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